Author Topic: Weather Forecasts  (Read 2407 times)

Groundpounder

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Weather Forecasts
« on: June 14, 2016, 07:48:35 AM »
This past weekend was a good illustration of how unreliable weather forecasts are and why events should never be cancelled based on a forecast alone. It also showed why fans and teams shouldn't put too much stock in them when making decisions on if/where to attend. Hell, I was out of state for my granddaughter's birthday party and even that was moved to an indoor venue based on the forecast. Sunday turned out to be a perfect day for the original outdoor plans. Meteorology is an (extremely) inexact science at best and a guessing game at worst. Not really something to base important decisions on, IMO.
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chief57

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Re: Weather Forecasts
« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2016, 08:01:27 AM »
well in case you never noticed gp the same folks who believe the weatherman also believe their horoscopes. i am guessing a few will get bitten by the weather bug after flubbing up a rain out call in the end. in all of the years we have raced we have turned around and headed home many a time due to our traveling time being greater than the time lapse between decision making and start time.
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Sunny

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Re: Weather Forecasts
« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2016, 09:48:14 AM »
I have to give a quick defense to some promoters, though.

It is very hard to make the tough call of a cancellation or reschedule due to weather. You can sit on that radar screen all frigging morning and GUESS what's going to happen at 2, 3, 4 in the afternoon. Meanwhile, your phone is blowing up from guys travelling to the show (you know, the guys who PUT ON the show), and you're stuck between a rock and a hard place.

Perfect example is last week at Dundee. The weather Tuesday was warm and muggy - the perfect set up for rain and thunderstorms right at the time the gates are set to open. And another round of showers predicted at hot lap time, then at heat time. You have teams travelling from at least 4 hours away, and you wat to do right by them and call it early so they don't start out and get half way there for a rain out. (Come to find out, Mother Nature had a little fun with Brett and Tyler and they really didn't get anything all afternoon at the track.) So you use the built in rain date, which turns out to be cold, and windy, and miserable. :shrug: There is no easy decision to calling a show due to weather.


uticamike

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Re: Weather Forecasts
« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2016, 02:26:43 PM »
It's a crap shoot to try and guess with 100% accuracy what the weather will do but in this day of expensive travel with time off for team members being a premium I don't blame promoters one bit for calling shows that involve traveling series.  If it does rain your a hero, if it doesn't your a zero.  Viewed thru the eyes of fans who only have to worry about themselves the game is easy. I assure it's not. Call the show...the sun comes out. Been happing in racing for as long as I've been going.  Let's talk about the Oswego show this year that should have been called..........
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Chargincharlie

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Re: Weather Forecasts
« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2016, 04:16:45 PM »
I don't trust them at all I just go racing where I am going no 2nd thoughts any more.